Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.068590 0.077195 0.085970 0.095557 0.105708 0.116109 0.127543
2025-08-24 0.052301 0.064645 0.077840 0.092862 0.109363 0.126822 0.146584
2025-08-31 0.041450 0.055787 0.071762 0.090570 0.111826 0.134858 0.161466
2025-09-07 0.035260 0.051128 0.069438 0.091584 0.117163 0.145369 0.178438
2025-09-14 0.030849 0.047919 0.068242 0.093396 0.122976 0.156056 0.195287
2025-09-21 0.028206 0.046502 0.068868 0.097072 0.130710 0.168736 0.214225
2025-09-28 0.024841 0.043774 0.067593 0.098223 0.135286 0.177637 0.228735
2025-10-05 0.024744 0.045283 0.071541 0.105663 0.147268 0.195077 0.253014
2025-10-12 0.021232 0.041798 0.068894 0.104793 0.149166 0.200664 0.263552
2025-10-19 0.019171 0.040133 0.068442 0.106525 0.154097 0.209725 0.278047
2025-10-26 0.016898 0.037925 0.067106 0.107007 0.157402 0.216787 0.290154
2025-11-02 0.015327 0.036614 0.066867 0.108804 0.162255 0.225642 0.304323
2025-11-09 0.013321 0.034529 0.065596 0.109397 0.165840 0.233279 0.317458
2025-11-16 0.010508 0.030761 0.061738 0.106432 0.164872 0.235388 0.324042
2025-11-23 0.008225 0.027517 0.058385 0.103950 0.164372 0.237954 0.331085
2025-11-30 0.007074 0.026169 0.057725 0.105043 0.168378 0.245981 0.344628
2025-12-07 0.006238 0.025305 0.057728 0.106997 0.173463 0.255313 0.359730
2025-12-14 0.005883 0.025388 0.059177 0.110957 0.181154 0.267867 0.378733
2025-12-21 0.005059 0.024313 0.058726 0.112196 0.185258 0.275962 0.392335
2025-12-28 0.005498 0.026169 0.063015 0.120195 0.198275 0.295167 0.419443
2026-01-04 0.004394 0.024237 0.061081 0.119261 0.199482 0.299640 0.428652
2026-01-11 0.003849 0.023545 0.061121 0.121121 0.204362 0.308686 0.443417
2026-01-18 0.003180 0.022365 0.060269 0.121638 0.207422 0.315429 0.455361